“Rapid onset gender dysphoria” and sex ratios in the gender-dysphoric population

Zinnia Jones

One item of evidence frequently presented by proponents of the “rapid onset gender dysphoria” (ROGD) hoax diagnosis is a recent increase in the number of assigned-female youth seeking evaluation for gender dysphoria, now exceeding the number of assigned-male youth, when previously this pattern was reversed. This development is construed as showing that the new “condition” of ROGD must be responsible for these cases among AFAB youth:

It appears quite likely that the striking increase in trans-identifying teens in recent years is due at least in part to social contagion. There has been a sudden sharp rise in the number of children and teens presenting at gender clinics. The first transgender youth clinic opened in Boston in 2007. Since then, 40 other clinics that cater exclusively to children have opened. Inexplicably, the ratio of natal males to natal females has flipped sharply, with many more natal female teens now presenting. Many of these young people have been presenting with dysphoria “out of the blue” as teens or tweens after extensive social media use without ever having expressed any gender variance before. This now-common presentation was virtually unheard of even a handful of years ago.

A key issue with the use of sex ratios as a line of evidence for an entirely new form of gender dysphoria is that there is no established, universal baseline for what the ratio of trans women to trans men “should” be. And it’s difficult to claim that a predominance of AFAB trans youth is anomalous when, in some regions, this has never been anomalous at all.

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About Zinnia Jones

My work focuses on insights to be found across transgender sociology, public health, psychiatry, history of medicine, cognitive science, the social processes of science, transgender feminism, and human rights, taking an analytic approach that intersects these many perspectives and is guided by the lived experiences of transgender people. I live in Orlando with my family, and work mainly in technical writing.
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